Constància vs Penya Ciutadella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
14.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Constància
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
BNS
1 - 1
CON
46%
25%
28%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
CON
1 - 0
MLL
26%
26%
48%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +2 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
SLL
0 - 0
CON
25%
25%
51%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
CON
1 - 1
UDR
69%
19%
12%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
CFP
0 - 0
CON
19%
25%
56%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Penya Ciutadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
PCE
1 - 2
PBL
40%
26%
34%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
BNS
3 - 1
PCE
61%
22%
18%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
PCE
2 - 0
MER
21%
23%
56%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +2 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
MLL
7 - 1
PCE
82%
12%
5%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
PCE
2 - 1
SDF
30%
28%
42%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +1 |