Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 2-1
Constància vs Penya Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
17.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Constància
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1987 |
CON
1 - 1
GIR
49%
24%
28%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1987 |
CON
3 - 1
SSA
83%
12%
5%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1987 |
CFP
0 - 4
CON
51%
25%
23%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1987 |
CON
2 - 2
ATB
53%
24%
24%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1987 |
MHN
0 - 0
CON
73%
18%
10%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Penya Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1987 |
PXD
0 - 0
FRR
63%
23%
15%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1987 |
PXD
6 - 1
ALA
64%
23%
13%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1987 |
POR
1 - 1
PXD
49%
25%
26%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1987 |
PXD
1 - 1
IBI
64%
22%
14%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1987 |
BVA
0 - 0
PXD
49%
26%
25%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |