Constància vs CD Ourense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
36.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Constància
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
YEC
2 - 1
CON
54%
24%
22%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
CON
0 - 0
LEV
44%
27%
29%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
CON
3 - 0
YEC
30%
25%
45%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
ATB
0 - 0
CON
76%
16%
8%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
CON
2 - 1
VIL
54%
26%
21%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
CDO
2 - 3
CDT
12%
24%
64%
|
44 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
CDG
1 - 1
CDO
63%
23%
14%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
CDO
2 - 1
AVI
59%
22%
19%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
CDO
3 - 1
ATB
21%
25%
54%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
CDO
1 - 0
LAU
52%
25%
23%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +2 |