Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 5-3
Constància vs Murense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
20.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Constància
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1984 |
CON
2 - 0
ADC
81%
13%
6%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1984 |
FRR
0 - 1
CON
42%
28%
30%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1984 |
CON
4 - 0
ALA
74%
17%
9%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1984 |
MHN
4 - 1
CON
58%
25%
17%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1984 |
CON
3 - 0
XIL
85%
11%
4%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Murense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1984 |
POR
2 - 0
MUR
52%
23%
25%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1984 |
MUR
1 - 1
BVA
66%
20%
14%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1984 |
UEP
2 - 1
MUR
27%
26%
46%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | -2 |
| 07 Oct. 1984 |
MUR
1 - 0
MLL
48%
24%
28%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +2 |
| 03 Oct. 1984 |
MUR
3 - 0
ATB
59%
21%
20%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |