Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 3-4
Constància vs Murense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
9.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Constància
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1981 |
CON
6 - 2
MUR
72%
18%
11%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1981 |
CFP
3 - 1
CON
42%
28%
30%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1981 |
CON
2 - 2
MNC
74%
16%
10%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1981 |
SAL
1 - 3
CON
48%
26%
25%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1981 |
CON
2 - 0
FLN
81%
13%
6%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Murense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1981 |
CON
6 - 2
MUR
72%
18%
11%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1981 |
MUR
1 - 2
PBL
42%
27%
31%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1981 |
MUR
2 - 1
CFP
73%
17%
10%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1981 |
MNC
3 - 0
MUR
44%
29%
27%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | -3 |
| 26 Apr. 1981 |
MUR
1 - 2
SAL
74%
16%
10%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |