Constància vs Montuiri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
16.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Constància
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
SRF
1 - 0
CON
25%
26%
49%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
CON
1 - 0
UDA
79%
15%
6%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
ESP
0 - 5
CON
13%
23%
64%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
PCE
1 - 2
CON
25%
26%
48%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
CON
1 - 0
BNS
56%
24%
20%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Montuiri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
MNU
2 - 0
BNS
40%
27%
33%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
MLL
2 - 0
MNU
80%
13%
7%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
MNU
3 - 2
SLL
67%
19%
14%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
UDR
3 - 2
MNU
32%
26%
43%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
MNU
0 - 1
CFP
77%
15%
8%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |