Constància vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
57.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.5%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Constància
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
OLI
1 - 0
CON
59%
24%
17%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2012 |
CON
0 - 0
ONT
37%
27%
36%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
CON
0 - 1
VIL
15%
23%
62%
|
41 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
BAD
2 - 2
CON
71%
19%
10%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
CON
1 - 2
UES
31%
29%
40%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
LOJ
0 - 1
MEL
24%
28%
48%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
MEL
0 - 0
SAN
71%
19%
10%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
LUC
1 - 0
MEL
39%
28%
33%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 1
ECI
64%
22%
14%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
ALB
3 - 2
MEL
51%
26%
22%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |