Constància vs Llosetense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
21.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Constància
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
PBL
1 - 1
CON
29%
27%
44%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
CON
4 - 1
CDS
75%
16%
8%
|
37 | 15 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
CON
1 - 1
SRF
72%
19%
9%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
MER
1 - 0
CON
33%
27%
40%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
CON
0 - 1
MNU
74%
18%
8%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Llosetense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
LLO
3 - 1
CAM
58%
23%
20%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
ATL
0 - 0
LLO
28%
22%
51%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
PXD
2 - 0
LLO
51%
23%
26%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
LLO
5 - 0
PCE
58%
21%
21%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
SDF
2 - 0
LLO
48%
24%
28%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |