Constància vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
32.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Constància
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1945 |
RAC
1 - 1
CON
63%
19%
18%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1945 |
CON
2 - 0
CUL
64%
19%
17%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1945 |
CEL
4 - 0
CON
71%
15%
14%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 1945 |
CON
1 - 1
BET
48%
21%
30%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1945 |
BAR
0 - 2
CON
50%
23%
27%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1945 |
HER
6 - 1
RCF
60%
21%
19%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1945 |
JFC
3 - 0
HER
54%
20%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1945 |
HER
2 - 0
ZAR
50%
23%
27%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1945 |
RSO
0 - 0
HER
66%
17%
18%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1945 |
HER
0 - 2
ALC
53%
22%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |