Constància vs Girona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
22.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Constància
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1942 |
CON
6 - 1
LEV
48%
22%
30%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1941 |
ALA
2 - 2
CON
77%
14%
10%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1941 |
SAB
1 - 1
CON
72%
16%
13%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1941 |
CON
1 - 1
GIR
51%
22%
27%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1941 |
FER
2 - 1
CON
54%
21%
25%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Girona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1942 |
FER
1 - 0
GIR
51%
22%
27%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1941 |
GIR
3 - 2
ZAR
41%
27%
32%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 1941 |
ALA
1 - 0
GIR
68%
18%
14%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1941 |
CON
1 - 1
GIR
51%
22%
27%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1941 |
GIR
0 - 2
OSA
49%
23%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |