Constància vs Ferriolense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
33%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Constància
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
SLL
2 - 0
CON
59%
21%
20%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
CON
0 - 2
AND
11%
18%
71%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
POR
2 - 1
CON
26%
25%
49%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
CON
0 - 0
MNC
42%
26%
33%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
FLN
1 - 2
CON
75%
16%
9%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Ferriolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
FER
2 - 0
FLN
10%
18%
72%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
CAR
1 - 1
FER
71%
18%
12%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
FER
0 - 2
IBI
8%
17%
75%
|
15 | 35 | 20 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
CDG
2 - 0
FER
72%
15%
13%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
FER
1 - 1
CLL
54%
23%
23%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -1 |