Constància vs Ferriolense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
9.9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Constància
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
CAM
1 - 1
CON
20%
25%
55%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CON
0 - 0
MNU
61%
22%
17%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
SRF
1 - 0
CON
25%
26%
49%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
CON
1 - 0
UDA
79%
15%
6%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
ESP
0 - 5
CON
13%
23%
64%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Ferriolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
FER
0 - 0
BNS
29%
28%
44%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
MLL
3 - 0
FER
86%
10%
4%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
FER
5 - 0
SLL
52%
24%
24%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
UDR
1 - 1
FER
50%
24%
26%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
FER
1 - 1
CFP
60%
23%
18%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |