Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 4-2
Constància vs Ibiza Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.1%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.1%
4-0
11%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.1%
3-0
14.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
20%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.5%
8.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8.9%
2.9%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Constància
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
CON
5 - 2
ATB
62%
22%
16%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1979 |
CLL
1 - 2
CON
31%
29%
40%
|
37 | 14 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1979 |
CON
2 - 1
CRE
64%
23%
13%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 May. 1979 |
ELD
1 - 0
CON
75%
17%
8%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1979 |
CON
1 - 0
GAN
37%
32%
32%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | +2 |