Constància vs Atletico Rafal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
8.6%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Constància
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
PXD
2 - 2
CON
36%
27%
38%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
CON
3 - 0
PCE
64%
21%
15%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
SDF
1 - 0
CON
36%
28%
36%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
CON
0 - 0
SLL
70%
20%
11%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
MNC
2 - 4
CON
23%
27%
50%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | +2 |
Matches
Atletico Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 3
CAM
44%
24%
32%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
ATL
3 - 4
ALC
43%
24%
33%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
PXD
2 - 1
ATL
76%
15%
9%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 1
PCE
35%
24%
42%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
SDF
2 - 0
ATL
72%
18%
10%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |