Constància vs Burgos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
14.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Constància
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1964 |
CON
1 - 0
UDL
51%
22%
27%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1964 |
CON
1 - 1
SPO
46%
25%
29%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1964 |
HOS
2 - 1
CON
39%
24%
38%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1963 |
UPL
4 - 1
CON
54%
21%
25%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -2 |
| 22 Dec. 1963 |
CON
3 - 2
RSO
36%
27%
37%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1964 |
BUR
1 - 0
SDI
64%
20%
17%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1963 |
SPO
1 - 0
BUR
75%
16%
9%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 1963 |
BUR
2 - 1
UPL
67%
17%
15%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 1963 |
RSO
1 - 1
BUR
80%
14%
7%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1963 |
BUR
3 - 0
HOS
78%
14%
9%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |