Constància vs Burgos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
35.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Constància
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1962 |
RAC
1 - 0
CON
78%
15%
7%
|
34 | 72 | 38 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1962 |
CON
2 - 0
MNC
78%
13%
8%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1962 |
ADC
1 - 2
CON
33%
23%
43%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1962 |
CON
3 - 2
IBI
64%
19%
18%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1962 |
CON
3 - 0
MNC
83%
11%
6%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1962 |
BUR
2 - 3
PON
63%
19%
18%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1962 |
BUR
1 - 1
CEL
42%
26%
32%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1962 |
RAC
2 - 1
BUR
83%
11%
6%
|
50 | 73 | 23 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 1962 |
CUL
0 - 0
BUR
68%
18%
14%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1962 |
BUR
3 - 1
BAS
60%
20%
20%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +2 |