Constància vs Arenas de Getxo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
10.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Constància
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1943 |
OSA
1 - 1
CON
60%
20%
20%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1943 |
CON
4 - 1
BET
49%
21%
29%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 1943 |
JFC
2 - 0
CON
56%
20%
24%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 1943 |
CON
3 - 1
VAD
45%
21%
34%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1943 |
HER
0 - 1
CON
63%
19%
18%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Arenas de Getxo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1943 |
ARE
1 - 1
SDC
46%
23%
32%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1943 |
OSA
2 - 2
ARE
78%
13%
9%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1943 |
ARE
1 - 1
SPO
28%
24%
48%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1943 |
BET
3 - 2
ARE
76%
14%
9%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1943 |
ARE
1 - 0
ALC
54%
20%
25%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |