Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 1-9
Constància vs Alicante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.5%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
47.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Constància
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2005 |
CON
6 - 0
POR
76%
16%
8%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
PXD
5 - 1
CON
38%
27%
35%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -2 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
CON
6 - 2
FER
71%
19%
10%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
MNU
0 - 1
CON
21%
25%
54%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
CON
4 - 0
ATB
70%
19%
11%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Alicante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2005 |
ALI
1 - 2
LOR
49%
25%
26%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2005 |
LOR
1 - 0
ALI
49%
23%
28%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
LEV
1 - 2
ALI
30%
28%
42%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
ALI
2 - 1
NOV
66%
21%
13%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
FIG
2 - 2
ALI
26%
27%
47%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -1 |