Constància vs Deportivo Alavés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
33.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Constància
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1941 |
CON
1 - 2
SAB
59%
20%
21%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1941 |
GIR
0 - 3
CON
69%
17%
14%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1941 |
CON
1 - 0
FER
56%
20%
25%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1941 |
OSA
3 - 2
CON
82%
11%
7%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1941 |
CON
5 - 1
ZAR
35%
26%
39%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | +2 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1941 |
GIR
2 - 1
ALA
48%
23%
29%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1941 |
ALA
3 - 1
OSA
58%
20%
22%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1941 |
LEV
4 - 2
ALA
67%
17%
17%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1941 |
ALA
2 - 1
SAB
77%
14%
9%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1941 |
FER
2 - 3
ALA
43%
23%
34%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | +1 |