Constància vs AD Ferroviaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
14.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Constància
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1942 |
CON
2 - 0
TER
72%
16%
13%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1942 |
SAB
1 - 0
CON
65%
18%
17%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1942 |
CON
6 - 0
ALA
50%
22%
29%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1942 |
RSO
1 - 0
CON
76%
14%
11%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1942 |
CON
2 - 0
GIR
57%
21%
22%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
AD Ferroviaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1942 |
SAB
2 - 2
FER
73%
15%
12%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1942 |
FER
0 - 8
RSO
43%
22%
35%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -2 |
| 11 Oct. 1942 |
OSA
2 - 2
FER
79%
12%
9%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1942 |
FER
2 - 3
TER
71%
16%
13%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1942 |
ALA
1 - 1
FER
75%
14%
11%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |