Athlético Marseille vs Valence analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
18.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athlético Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
BEZ
0 - 1
CON
35%
25%
40%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
PAU
1 - 0
CON
34%
25%
41%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
ROD
3 - 2
CON
35%
27%
38%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
CON
0 - 1
GRE
43%
27%
31%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
HYE
0 - 3
CON
39%
26%
35%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
HYE
2 - 1
VAL
52%
25%
23%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 2
VAL
44%
27%
29%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
VAL
0 - 0
NIC
47%
26%
27%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
ROD
2 - 1
VAL
50%
26%
25%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
VAL
0 - 0
FCM
37%
27%
37%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |