Athlético Marseille vs Valence analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
21.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athlético Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
CAN
1 - 1
CON
54%
24%
21%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
CON
1 - 1
OLY
38%
26%
36%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
HYE
3 - 1
CON
34%
27%
39%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
CON
3 - 0
TAR
60%
22%
18%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
ALB
0 - 2
CON
19%
23%
59%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
VAL
3 - 1
PAU
55%
24%
21%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
MON
1 - 0
VAL
44%
25%
31%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
VAL
1 - 1
MAR
54%
24%
23%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
FCM
4 - 0
VAL
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
VAL
2 - 0
BAY
53%
25%
22%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |