Athlético Marseille vs Trinité Sports analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
24.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athlético Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2009 |
NIM
5 - 1
CON
38%
26%
36%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
CON
2 - 0
LEP
34%
26%
40%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | +2 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
BAS
3 - 0
CON
38%
27%
36%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
CON
0 - 0
NIC
38%
27%
35%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
COR
2 - 0
CON
28%
26%
46%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
Trinité Sports
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2009 |
TRI
4 - 1
GAR
37%
26%
37%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
SCR
0 - 0
TRI
50%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
UZE
1 - 1
TRI
63%
20%
17%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
TRI
2 - 0
VAL
36%
26%
38%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +3 |
| 29 Apr. 2009 |
SRA
1 - 0
TRI
63%
21%
16%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | -1 |