Athlético Marseille vs Tarbes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
18.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athlético Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
ALB
0 - 2
CON
19%
23%
59%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
CON
3 - 0
SAE
60%
22%
18%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
CON
2 - 0
PAU
53%
24%
23%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
MON
2 - 1
CON
29%
25%
47%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
CON
2 - 2
ROD
56%
22%
21%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Tarbes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
TAR
3 - 1
PAU
45%
26%
30%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
ROD
2 - 0
TAR
48%
26%
27%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
MON
3 - 1
TAR
44%
26%
30%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
TAR
3 - 1
MAR
45%
26%
30%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2013 |
TAR
2 - 0
LEP
38%
24%
38%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |