Athlético Marseille vs Red Star analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
30.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athlético Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2018 |
LUS
1 - 1
CON
41%
26%
33%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
ROD
1 - 2
CON
37%
28%
35%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2017 |
CON
1 - 0
USB
40%
25%
35%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2017 |
CON
0 - 1
SAN
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2017 |
CON
2 - 0
CON
29%
26%
45%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
RED
1 - 0
CHO
62%
22%
16%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
LYO
0 - 0
RED
35%
29%
36%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
LUS
2 - 3
RED
40%
28%
32%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2017 |
RED
1 - 2
DUN
46%
26%
28%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
USB
0 - 0
RED
37%
29%
34%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |