Athlético Marseille vs US Le Pontet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
30.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athlético Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2012 |
UZE
1 - 1
CON
64%
22%
15%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
CON
0 - 2
COL
41%
27%
32%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
CAN
1 - 1
CON
68%
20%
12%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2012 |
CON
4 - 2
TAR
39%
27%
35%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
ROD
0 - 0
CON
63%
22%
15%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
US Le Pontet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2012 |
LEP
4 - 2
BEZ
40%
26%
35%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
HYE
1 - 1
LEP
56%
22%
22%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
LEP
1 - 0
SAE
26%
26%
49%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
ALB
4 - 1
LEP
45%
24%
31%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
LEP
0 - 1
MON
44%
27%
29%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -2 |