Athlético Marseille vs Pau FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
34.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athlético Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
CON
2 - 3
BEZ
41%
26%
33%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
HYE
1 - 1
CON
65%
20%
15%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
CON
1 - 1
SAE
35%
27%
38%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
ALB
3 - 2
CON
36%
26%
38%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
GDB
0 - 0
CON
45%
26%
30%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Pau FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
PAU
0 - 2
LEP
57%
22%
21%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
BEZ
1 - 1
PAU
46%
26%
28%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
PAU
1 - 1
UZE
35%
28%
37%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
HYE
2 - 0
PAU
54%
25%
21%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
ALB
1 - 2
PAU
31%
28%
41%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |