Athlético Marseille vs Nice II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.3%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.5%
6.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athlético Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
IST
2 - 1
CON
12%
19%
69%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
USM
1 - 4
CON
5%
12%
83%
|
48 | 19 | 29 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
CON
1 - 2
LUC
87%
10%
4%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
CBL
0 - 2
CON
12%
18%
70%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
CON
0 - 1
MAR
89%
8%
3%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
CAN
1 - 0
NIC
59%
22%
20%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
NIC
1 - 3
FUR
31%
23%
45%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | -2 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
RSV
2 - 1
NIC
35%
22%
43%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
NIC
5 - 0
61%
19%
20%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
IST
2 - 0
NIC
49%
23%
29%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |