Athlético Marseille vs Lyon-Duchère analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
14.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athlético Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2018 |
CON
4 - 3
CHO
56%
24%
21%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2018 |
PAU
1 - 2
CON
43%
27%
30%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2018 |
CON
2 - 2
RED
42%
28%
30%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2018 |
LUS
1 - 1
CON
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
ROD
1 - 2
CON
37%
28%
35%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Lyon-Duchère
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2018 |
LYO
1 - 2
CON
41%
27%
32%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2018 |
CHO
3 - 1
LYO
47%
26%
27%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2018 |
LYO
1 - 2
LES
45%
26%
29%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2018 |
PAU
1 - 1
LYO
49%
27%
24%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
LYO
0 - 0
RED
35%
29%
36%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |