Athlético Marseille vs Gallia Lucciana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.6%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.6%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.5%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.5%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.7%
3.6%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athlético Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
CBL
0 - 2
CON
12%
18%
70%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
CON
0 - 1
MAR
89%
8%
3%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 2
CON
10%
17%
73%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
CON
3 - 0
AJA
83%
12%
6%
|
47 | 29 | 18 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
SCR
3 - 2
CON
8%
16%
75%
|
49 | 25 | 24 | -2 |
Matches
Gallia Lucciana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
LUC
2 - 0
SCR
42%
22%
36%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
CAN
5 - 1
LUC
63%
20%
17%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
LUC
1 - 4
FUR
32%
22%
46%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
RSV
1 - 0
LUC
28%
22%
50%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
LUC
3 - 1
65%
18%
17%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |