Athlético Marseille vs Istres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
18.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athlético Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2015 |
DUN
2 - 0
CON
41%
28%
31%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2015 |
CON
0 - 0
RED
29%
27%
44%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2015 |
AVR
0 - 1
CON
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2015 |
CON
1 - 1
STR
36%
27%
37%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2015 |
LPS
1 - 2
CON
45%
25%
30%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Istres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2015 |
IST
0 - 2
COL
42%
26%
32%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2015 |
USB
1 - 0
IST
70%
19%
11%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2015 |
IST
2 - 3
PFC
27%
29%
44%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2015 |
SPI
1 - 1
IST
50%
24%
26%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2015 |
IST
1 - 0
COL
46%
26%
28%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |