Athlético Marseille vs Bagnols-Pont analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
13.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athlético Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2011 |
TRI
6 - 3
CON
29%
24%
47%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
CON
1 - 1
FCA
51%
24%
26%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
LAS
3 - 5
CON
33%
25%
42%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +2 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
CON
1 - 0
EFB
69%
18%
13%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
FRE
0 - 1
CON
36%
25%
39%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Bagnols-Pont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2011 |
FBP
1 - 0
GRA
42%
25%
33%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
NIC
1 - 0
FBP
56%
23%
21%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
FBP
2 - 0
COR
30%
24%
47%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +2 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
FUR
3 - 0
FBP
46%
25%
29%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
FBP
1 - 0
GAR
37%
25%
38%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +1 |