Athlético Marseille vs Dunkerque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
34.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athlético Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2018 |
USB
4 - 1
CON
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
CON
2 - 0
ROD
51%
24%
25%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 0
CON
42%
25%
33%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2018 |
CON
0 - 1
CON
50%
25%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2018 |
LES
3 - 2
CON
43%
27%
31%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Dunkerque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2018 |
DUN
2 - 0
CHO
58%
24%
18%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
PAU
0 - 0
DUN
38%
28%
35%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2018 |
DUN
0 - 3
RED
44%
28%
28%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -2 |
| 13 Apr. 2018 |
LUS
1 - 3
DUN
32%
27%
41%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2018 |
LYO
0 - 1
DUN
37%
28%
35%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |