Athlético Marseille vs Cholet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
20.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athlético Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2018 |
PAU
1 - 2
CON
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2018 |
CON
2 - 2
RED
42%
28%
30%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2018 |
LUS
1 - 1
CON
41%
26%
33%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
ROD
1 - 2
CON
37%
28%
35%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2017 |
CON
1 - 0
USB
40%
25%
35%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Cholet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2018 |
CHO
3 - 1
LYO
47%
26%
27%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
RED
1 - 0
CHO
62%
22%
16%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2017 |
CHO
2 - 4
DUN
32%
27%
41%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2017 |
USB
1 - 1
CHO
50%
26%
24%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
CHO
0 - 1
ROD
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |