Athlético Marseille vs CA Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
13.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athlético Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2017 |
BEL
3 - 2
CON
17%
24%
59%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
CON
4 - 1
USB
47%
25%
28%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
QUE
0 - 2
CON
50%
25%
25%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2017 |
CON
1 - 1
LES
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
LYO
1 - 1
CON
34%
27%
39%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CA Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2017 |
CAB
1 - 0
PFC
28%
30%
42%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2017 |
SED
7 - 1
CAB
52%
25%
23%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2017 |
CAB
1 - 2
AVR
30%
27%
43%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2017 |
LUS
2 - 1
CAB
47%
26%
28%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
CON
1 - 0
CAB
49%
26%
25%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |