Athlético Marseille vs CA Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
17.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athlético Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2015 |
AVR
2 - 2
CON
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
CON
1 - 2
LUC
37%
27%
36%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2015 |
AMI
3 - 0
CON
38%
27%
35%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 2
CON
43%
26%
31%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
CON
0 - 2
USB
47%
26%
27%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CA Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2015 |
CAB
0 - 2
CHA
39%
26%
34%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
USB
4 - 0
CAB
64%
22%
14%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2015 |
CAB
0 - 0
CHA
48%
26%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
COL
0 - 2
CAB
61%
23%
17%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
CAB
1 - 2
SPI
58%
22%
20%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |