Athlético Marseille vs CA Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
27.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athlético Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2015 |
BOU
2 - 0
CON
53%
25%
22%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2015 |
RED
2 - 0
CON
49%
26%
26%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2015 |
CON
1 - 0
CHA
47%
26%
28%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2015 |
CON
2 - 2
USB
29%
28%
43%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
CON
3 - 0
AJA
17%
23%
61%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | +2 |
Matches
CA Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
USB
4 - 1
CAB
65%
21%
14%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2015 |
CAB
1 - 1
SPI
60%
21%
19%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2014 |
COL
1 - 1
CAB
43%
27%
30%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2014 |
CAB
1 - 0
LUC
40%
26%
34%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2014 |
AMI
2 - 2
CAB
62%
24%
15%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |