Athlético Marseille vs Chateauroux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
31.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athlético Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2017 |
CHA
2 - 1
CON
49%
25%
26%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2017 |
CON
3 - 2
DUN
37%
27%
36%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2017 |
SED
0 - 2
CON
31%
26%
43%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2017 |
BEZ
1 - 1
CON
39%
27%
34%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
CON
1 - 0
CON
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Chateauroux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2017 |
CHA
0 - 5
PFC
62%
23%
15%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
SED
2 - 1
CHA
23%
27%
51%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2017 |
BEL
0 - 1
CHA
21%
27%
52%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2017 |
CHA
2 - 1
AVR
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2017 |
LUS
1 - 2
CHA
31%
27%
43%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |