Athlético Marseille vs Bayonne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
22%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athlético Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
TAR
2 - 2
CON
34%
25%
42%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
BEZ
1 - 2
CON
46%
24%
30%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
COL
3 - 1
CON
50%
25%
26%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
CON
1 - 1
MOU
48%
25%
27%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
CON
2 - 0
LEP
38%
24%
38%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Bayonne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 1
BAY
35%
29%
36%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
BAY
2 - 3
PAU
50%
25%
25%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
BAY
1 - 0
FCM
40%
26%
34%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
BAY
1 - 3
SAE
50%
25%
25%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
BEZ
1 - 0
BAY
46%
26%
28%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |