Athlético Marseille vs Avranches analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
20.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athlético Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2017 |
LYO
1 - 1
CON
34%
27%
40%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2017 |
CHO
0 - 1
CON
24%
25%
51%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2017 |
CON
1 - 1
PAU
66%
21%
13%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
RED
2 - 0
CON
41%
26%
34%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
CON
2 - 1
LUS
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2017 |
AVR
2 - 3
CHO
58%
23%
18%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2017 |
PAU
2 - 0
AVR
29%
27%
44%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2017 |
AVR
1 - 3
RED
42%
28%
30%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2017 |
LUS
2 - 0
AVR
33%
26%
41%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
AVR
1 - 1
DUN
37%
27%
36%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |