Athlético Marseille vs Avranches analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athlético Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2016 |
LUC
0 - 1
CON
46%
25%
29%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
CON
0 - 2
AMI
52%
24%
24%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2016 |
CON
2 - 0
CHA
46%
25%
29%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2016 |
USB
0 - 2
CON
45%
25%
30%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2016 |
CON
3 - 2
CHA
54%
25%
21%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2016 |
AVR
2 - 0
CHA
39%
27%
35%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
USB
2 - 0
AVR
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2016 |
AVR
1 - 1
CHA
46%
27%
27%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2016 |
COL
2 - 1
AVR
37%
27%
36%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2016 |
AVR
0 - 0
SPI
62%
21%
17%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |