Athlético Marseille vs Aubagne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
18.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athlético Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
ZAC
0 - 0
CON
6%
12%
82%
|
50 | 10 | 40 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
USM
0 - 1
CON
6%
14%
80%
|
50 | 25 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
CON
2 - 2
CBL
81%
12%
7%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
CON
6 - 0
MAR
87%
10%
4%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
1 - 3
CON
7%
14%
80%
|
50 | 24 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Aubagne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
MAX
1 - 3
AUB
11%
16%
72%
|
46 | 8 | 38 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
MAR
0 - 3
AUB
28%
25%
46%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
AUB
0 - 0
FRE
35%
26%
39%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
OLY
3 - 2
AUB
45%
24%
31%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
HYE
1 - 2
AUB
33%
28%
40%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |