Athlético Marseille vs Ajaccio II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.5%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
12%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12%
5.6%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athlético Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
SCR
3 - 2
CON
8%
16%
75%
|
49 | 25 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
CON
0 - 0
AUB
62%
20%
18%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
ZAC
0 - 0
CON
6%
12%
82%
|
49 | 9 | 40 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
USM
0 - 1
CON
6%
14%
80%
|
49 | 23 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
CON
2 - 2
CBL
81%
12%
7%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Ajaccio II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
AJA
2 - 1
SCR
43%
23%
35%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
CAN
5 - 0
AJA
57%
23%
21%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
AJA
2 - 0
RSV
69%
17%
15%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
NIC
4 - 0
AJA
47%
23%
31%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -3 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
VIL
2 - 1
AJA
63%
19%
18%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |