Consadole Sapporo vs Parceiro Nagano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
42.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Consadole Sapporo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
CON
0 - 2
SHI
17%
25%
59%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
GAM
7 - 2
CON
85%
11%
4%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
CON
2 - 4
VIS
23%
25%
52%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
CON
2 - 1
VEG
16%
27%
57%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
CER
4 - 0
CON
81%
13%
6%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Parceiro Nagano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
SPU
0 - 3
PAR
10%
17%
74%
|
62 | 9 | 53 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
SON
1 - 2
PAR
28%
29%
43%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
PAR
5 - 0
HON
55%
25%
20%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
ZWE
2 - 2
PAR
26%
26%
48%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
HON
1 - 0
PAR
23%
25%
52%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | -1 |