Connah's Quay vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
32.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 3
CON
37%
26%
37%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
CON
2 - 0
CAR
70%
20%
11%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2017 |
BAL
1 - 1
CON
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
PRE
2 - 2
CON
20%
21%
60%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2017 |
BAN
2 - 1
CON
42%
26%
32%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 5
TNS
20%
23%
57%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
TNS
3 - 2
BAL
50%
24%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
TNS
4 - 0
BAN
55%
22%
23%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
TNS
2 - 1
BAN
47%
22%
31%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +2 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
STM
4 - 1
TNS
17%
20%
64%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | -1 |