Connah's Quay vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
57%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 3
CON
55%
23%
22%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
CON
1 - 1
BAN
50%
23%
27%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
CON
1 - 1
RHY
48%
23%
29%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
CON
2 - 2
BAL
23%
22%
55%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2015 |
CON
0 - 0
CEF
65%
19%
16%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
TNS
2 - 0
AIR
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ABE
0 - 4
TNS
38%
25%
38%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
NEW
0 - 0
TNS
27%
25%
49%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
TNS
3 - 0
GRE
86%
10%
4%
|
67 | 23 | 44 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
TNS
6 - 0
POR
69%
18%
13%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |