Connah's Quay vs STM Sports analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.6%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.7%
4.7%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
CON
8 - 0
LID
85%
11%
4%
|
72 | 39 | 33 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
TNS
2 - 1
CON
62%
21%
17%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
CON
2 - 0
BAR
69%
19%
11%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2019 |
AIR
0 - 4
CON
16%
25%
59%
|
72 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
CON
2 - 1
AIR
77%
16%
8%
|
72 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
STM Sports
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
STM
0 - 3
HAV
32%
23%
45%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2020 |
LLA
2 - 1
STM
23%
22%
54%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
STM
2 - 2
GOY
70%
18%
13%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
STM
2 - 1
CAE
89%
8%
4%
|
42 | 19 | 23 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2019 |
CAE
1 - 1
STM
7%
13%
80%
|
43 | 17 | 26 | -1 |