Connah's Quay vs Ruthin Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.8%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
14.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.2%
+3
18%
2-0
19%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.3%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.2%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
13.3%
3.8%
Win probability
0.33
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CON
2 - 0
CAR
47%
28%
25%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
DEN
1 - 5
CON
10%
18%
72%
|
67 | 37 | 30 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CON
1 - 0
HAV
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
CAE
0 - 2
CON
41%
26%
33%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
CON
1 - 0
PON
64%
23%
13%
|
67 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Ruthin Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
RHY
0 - 2
RTW
10%
16%
74%
|
41 | 11 | 30 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
RTW
3 - 2
AAA
68%
18%
14%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
MOL
1 - 2
RTW
33%
23%
45%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
RTW
1 - 3
FLI
12%
18%
70%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 1
RTW
22%
24%
55%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |