Connah's Quay vs Port Talbot Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
25.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
PRE
0 - 3
CON
21%
22%
56%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
LLA
1 - 0
CON
38%
26%
37%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
CON
2 - 1
BAL
33%
25%
42%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +2 |
| 18 Nov. 2015 |
DEN
1 - 0
CON
13%
20%
68%
|
58 | 38 | 20 | -2 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
HAV
0 - 2
CON
25%
24%
51%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Port Talbot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2015 |
POR
2 - 1
CAM
74%
17%
9%
|
56 | 35 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
NEW
1 - 1
POR
54%
23%
23%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
POR
0 - 1
TNS
23%
25%
52%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
POR
2 - 0
BAN
34%
26%
41%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
BAL
5 - 2
POR
65%
20%
14%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | +1 |