Connah's Quay vs Newtown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
27.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
2º
4º
3º
44
4º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
92 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 14 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
59 | 12 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
44 | 11 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 10 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 5 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CON
1 - 0
BAL
44%
23%
32%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
CAE
2 - 1
CON
43%
25%
32%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
CON
1 - 5
TNS
43%
25%
32%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
BAL
1 - 0
CON
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
CON
2 - 1
CAR
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
NEW
0 - 1
TNS
38%
25%
38%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
NEW
2 - 0
CAR
43%
26%
30%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
CAE
1 - 0
NEW
43%
24%
33%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
NEW
1 - 5
BAL
42%
25%
33%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
NEW
2 - 3
CON
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |